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Forum - ARIA Charts: Special Occasion Charts - ARIA Mid Year Chart Preds

I was wondering what the song of 2016 is going to be my guess would be between 7 Years, Never Be Like You, One Dance, Fast Car or Love Yourself well that would be my top 5 preds. If I had to choose what No.1 would be it would either be 7 years or never be like you. What does everyone else think?
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Assuming that ARIA publish a mid-year chart this year.

Though they did in 2012 and 2014, so if they follow that pattern...
7 Years for the win!
Oh god I hope it isn't 7 Years!
What TheMusicCat said

In saying that though, I'm almost certain that it would be #1, because it doesn't feel like there would be any major challengers
7 Years will be #1 quite easily unfortunately, followed by Never Be Like You.

Adele will be #1 over the Molly soundtrack on albums.
At the rate it's going, One Dance will overtake it by the end of the year (thank goodness)
It could actually be Bieber's Love Yourself - accredited <P> on the first chart of the year, now <P>6. 7 Years is <P>4 so far, while Never Be Like You and Jonas Blue's Fast Car are both <P>3. Bieber's What Do You Mean? and Sorry are also both up by <P>3 on their start-of-year accreditations. One Dance hasn't even passed <P> yet, despite seven consecutive weeks within the top 2 and five weeks at #1 - which may not matter much in terms of OEY, but would likely have more impact if a mid-year chart eventuates this year.
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Drake's certification is a bit behind, he's only a couple weeks away from having triple platinum sales + streams.
Accreditations are no longer the best tools to jauge hard sales. Record companies can be well behind and take time to certify singles. Not to mention that Warner still doesn't include streams into accreditations for some reason.
I do admit, for a mid year chart it will be 7 years, but hopefully by the end of the year something different will have appeared.
7 Years should get the mid year and is also a chance for the end year *Evil laugh*
Innocent_Eyes: curious about your take on this. You said "Accreditations are no longer the best tools to jauge hard sales". While I've said countless times over the years how unreliable they can be, I imagine they've been the only indicators the vast majority of us have had any reference to as an indication of total sales. I'm not aware of any broadly accessible source of sales volume reporting (very happy to be proven wrong on that). In the absence of anything else, is there an alternative tool to help non-industry types get a handle on sales? To my mind, for no apparent reason actual sales volumes in this country have always seemed to be shrouded in mystery. Other than media references to gold and platinum accreditations, sales data are rarely mentioned.
Thoughts?
Bulion gives sales for the Top 10s every week in the chartifacts section. With the iTunes popularity bars and Spotify numbers, it's easy to estimate how many units a song sells every week.
Thanks for pointing that out. TBH I don't think I've ever scrolled that far down the Chartifacts post before. I'll have to ask Bulion to explain it to me - not especially 'user friendly' for the uninitiated
Everyone should make a prediction of what the top 50 of 2016 will be this is my top 10 guesses:

1. One Dance
2. 7 Years
3. Never Be Like You
4. Love Yourself
5. This is what you came for
6. Fast Car
7. Just Like Fire
8. In My Blood
9. Stressed Out
10. Don't Let Me Down
But we are only at the half of the year. Many other songs will be relased in the second half of 2016 that will make the Top 50.

It looks like ARIA won't make a mid year chart unfortuantely. Real shame because it's always interesting to see what has done well in the first 6 months of the year.
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This PDF from The Music Network seems to include 2 ARIA-provided mid-year top 10s (on page 2):

http://www.themusicnetworkchartreports.com/uploads/8/3/0/1/83015278/tmn_singles___market_share_mid_year_report.pdf

ARIA Top 10 Singles

1. Lukas Graham - 7 Years
2. Flume feat. Kai - Never Be Like You
3. Justin Bieber - Love Yourself
4. Twenty One Pilots - Stressed Out
5. Charlie Puth - One Call Away
6. Jonas Blue feat. Dakota - Fast Car
7. Alan Walker - Faded
8. Sia - Cheap Thrills
9. Drake feat. Wizkid & Kyla - One Dance
10. Fifth Harmony feat. Ty Dolla $ign - Work From Home

ARIA Top 10 Streaming

1. Flume feat. Kai - Never Be Like You
2. Lukas Graham - 7 Years
3. Justin Bieber - Love Yourself
4. Drake feat. Wizkid & Kyla - One Dance
5. Jonas Blue feat. Dakota - Fast Car
6. Justin Bieber - Sorry
7. Alan Walker - Faded
8. The Chainsmokers feat. ROZES - Roses
9. Fifth Harmony feat. Ty Dolla $ign - Work From Home
10. Zara Larsson - Lush Life
I can see the Top 10 looking something like this at year end

1. Drake - One Dance (1)
2. Chainsmokers - Closer (1)
3. Lukas Graham - 7 Years (1)
4. Flume - Never Be Like You (1)
5. Calvin/Rihanna - This Is What You Came For (1)
6. Chainsmokers - Don't Let Me Down (3)
7. Justin Timberlake - Can't Stop The Feeling (3)
8. Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (1)
9. Twenty One Pilots - Stressed Out (2)
10. Sia - Cheap Thrills (6)

I'd imagine there could be another big song or two that could contend that hasn't been released yet like Adele last year
From already released songs (obviously), here's my attempt at a top 20

1. One Dance - Drake featuring Wizkid & Kyla
2. Never Be Like You - Flume featuring Kai
3. 7 Years - Lukas Graham
4. Love Yourself - Justin Bieber
5. This Is What You Came For - Calvin Harris featuring Rihanna
6. Don't Let Me Down - The Chainsmokers featuring Daya
7. Closer - The Chainsmokers featuring Halsey
8. Cheap Thrills - Sia
9. Fast Car - Jonas Blue featuring Dakota
10. Stressed Out - Twenty One Pilots
11. Work From Home - Fifth Harmony featuring Ty Dolla $ign
12. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! - Justin Timberlake
13. Cold Water - Major Lazer featuring Justin Bieber & MØ
14. Faded - Alan Walker
15. i hate u, i love u - gnash featuring Olivia O'Brien
16. I Took A Pill In Ibiza (SeeB Remix) - Mike Posner
17. One Call Away - Charlie Puth
18. 1955 - Hilltop Hoods featuring Montaigne & Tom Thum
19. Just Like Fire - P!nk
20. Say It - Flume featuring Tove Lo

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