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Forum - ARIA Charts: Special Occasion Charts - ARIA 2017 Year End Chart

Even though we are still 2 months away from early January, when the 2017 Year End Chart is announced, I thought that it would be good to open a thread where members can make their predictions.

Going through some old topics, I quite enjoyed the quiz Effluvium1 made in 2014, so I decided to make a similar one for 2017

1. Can Ed Sheeran score 4 entries in the Year End Top 10 (yeah Top 10, not Top 100) with Shape Of You, Castle On The Hill, Galway Girl and Perfect?

2. ED SHEERAN - Galway Girl or Perfect?

3. CLEAN BANDIT - Rockabye or Symphony?

4. THE WEEKND - Starboy or I Feel It Coming?

5. BATTLE OF THE GIRLS - Maggie Lindemann's Pretty Girl or Hailee Steinfeld's Most Girls?

6. AUSTRALIA: How many Australian tracks will feature in the list (including songs that feature Australian artists)?
(Worth 5 points - 1 point off per difference)

7. AUSTRALIA: Pnau's Chameleon or Dean Lewis' Waves?

8. AUSTRALIA: Jessica Mauboy's Fallin' just missed the weekly Top 10? Will it make the Year End Top 100 or just miss it?

9. Can Rita Ora score her highest placing ever on a Year End Chart with Your Song, thus beating the #70 spot she achieved with Black Widow in 2014?

10. Can Macklemore score his highest placing ever on a Year End Chart with Glorious, thus beating the #9 spot he achieved with Thrift Shop in 2012?

11. Who will get the most entries (including featurings)?

12. Long running singles in the Top 100: Justin Timberlake's Can't Stop The Feeling or Flume's Never be Like You?

13. Long running singles in the Top 10: Imagine Dragons' Thunder or Shawn Mendes' There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back?

14. How many tracks from 2016's list will also make this year's list?
(Worth 5 points - 1 point off per difference)

14a. What 2016 track will be the highest?

15. EUROPE VS AMERICA: The Chainsmokers' Paris or Miley Cyrus' Malibu?

16. GROUP VS SOLO: Can Camila Cabello's Havana land higher than Fifth Harmony's Work From Home (#15 in 2016)?

17. POST MALONE: Congratulations or Rockstar?

18. ONE DIRECTION: Can all the 5 members score a spot?

19. CALVIN HARRIS: Feels or Slide?

20. P!NK: Will she be #2 for a 5th year on a Year End Albums Chart woth Beautiful Trauma?
1. No I think Shape of You, Castle on the Hill and Galway Girl will make the top 10 but not Perfect
2. Galway Girl
3. Symphony
4. I Feel It Coming
5. Pretty Girl
6. 8
7. Chameleon
8. Yes
9. Yes
10. No, I feel like it'll be around #9-#12
11. Ed Sheeran
12. Can't Stop the Feeling
13. Thunder
14. 10
14a. Rockabye
15. Malibu
16. No
17. Rockstar
18. Yes
18a. Strip That Down
19. Feels
20. Yes
Last edited:
1. No
2. Galway Girl
3. Rockabye
4. Starboy
5. Pretty Girl
6. 7
7. Chameleon
8. Yes
9. No
10. Yes
11. Ed Sheehan
12. Never Be Like You
13. Thunder
14. 6
14a. Rockabye
15. Malibu
16. No
17. Rockstar
18. Yes
18a. Strip That Down
19. Feels
20. Yes
I'll have a go

1. No
2. Perfect
3. Symphony
4. I Feel It Coming
5. Pretty Girl
6. 7
7. Chameleon
8. make it
9. she will
10. he will
11. [s]Quavo[/s] Khalid (taking a risk here)
12. Can't Stop The Feeling
13. Thunder
14. 5
14a. Rockabye
15. Paris
16. nah
17. Rockstar
18. I think Louis will just miss out so no
18a. Strip That Down
19. Feels
20. Yes

it was just pointed out to me that I missed 14a, thanks 392
Last edited:
1. No
2. Galway Girl
3. Rockabye
4. Starboy
5. Pretty Girl
6. 8
7. Chameleon (though maybe Waves will get a boost back if he performs it at the ARIAs or something)
8. It will make it
9. Yes
10. Yes
11. a tie between Ed Sheeran and Justin Bieber (if I can only pick one, Ed Sheeran)
13. Thunder
14. 9
14a. Rockabye
15. Paris
16. No
17. rockstar
18. Yes
18a. Strip That Down
19. Feels
20. Yes
1. No, only the first three
2. Galway Girl
3. Symphony just
4. again close, probably Starboy just ahead
5. Pretty Girl
6. 10
7. this one is really difficult but I'll go Chameleon because that's what I hope will win
8. Fallin' will make it
9. she will beat it
10. Gonna guess that he'll be just in or just outside the top 10. So no beating his best of #9
11. Alessia Cara , Ed Sheeran and Justin Bieber - 4 entries each
12. don't see Never Be Like You making an appearance but Can't Stop The Feeling definitely will, unfortunately
13. feel the lightning and the thunder thunder
14. 8 feels low but I can only be certain of 8 making it honestly
14a. Rockabye
15. Paris has had slightly better longevity so I'm going with that
16. Havana maybe doesn't have enough time left to end up as high as #15 this year. I'll go no
17. rockstar no competition
18. Yes
18a. Strip That Down, as much as I'd love it to be Slow Hands
19. Feels
20. Yes
Last edited:
1. No
2. Galway Girl
3. Symphony
4. I Feel It Coming
5. Pretty Girl
6. 12
7. Waves
8. It will make it
9. Yes
10. He'll equal it, so no.
11. Ed with 5
12. CSTF
13. Thunder
14. 10
14a. Rockabye
15. Paris
16. Yes
17. Rockstar
18. Yes
18a. Strip That Down
19. Feels
20. Yes
I know its way too early to be doing preds but I'm going to post mine now and edit it along the way until the end of December

1Shape of YouEd Sheeran▲ 9
2DespacitoLuis Fonsi and Daddy Yankee feat. Justin Bieber▲ 5
3Castle on the HillEd Sheeran▲ 5
4Something Just like ThisThe Chainsmokers and Coldplay▲ 5
5Galway GirlEd Sheeran▲ 4
6RockstarPost Malone feat. 21 Savage
7ThunderImagine Dragons▲ 2
8HumbleKendrick Lamar▲ 3
9GloriousMacklemore feat. Skylar Grey▲ 3
10Strip That DownLiam Payne feat. Quavo▲ 3
11There’s Nothing Holdin’ Me BackShawn Mendes▲ 2
12I’m the OneDJ Khaled feat. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance the Rapper and Lil Wayne▲ 4
13Slow HandsNiall Horan▲ 3
14New RulesDua Lipa▲ 2
15StayZedd and Alessia Cara▲ 3
16HavanaCamila Cabello feat. Young Thug▲ 2
17Too Good At GoodbyesSam Smith
18PerfectEd Sheeran▲ 2
19It Ain’t MeKygo and Selena Gomez▲ 4
20SymphonyClean Bandit feat. Zara Larsson▲ 3
21Wild ThoughtsDJ Khaled feat. Rihanna and Bryson Tiller▲ 3
22FeelsCalvin Harris feat. Pharrell Williams, Katy Perry and Big Sean▲ 2
23I Don’t Wanna Live ForeverZAYN and Taylor Swift▲ 2
24UnforgettableFrench Montana feat. Swae Lee▲ 3
25What About UsPink▲ 2
26RockabyeClean Bandit feat. Sean Paul and Anne-Marie▲ 4
27Fresh EyesAndy Grammar▲ 3
28Green LightLorde▲ 2
29MamaJonas Blue feat. William Singe▲ 2
30Young Dumb & BrokeKhalid▲ 2
31Dusk Till DawnZAYN feat. Sia
32MalibuMiley Cyrus▲ 3
33That’s What I LikeBruno Mars▲ 2
34ParisThe Chainsmokers▲ 3
35IssuesJulia Michaels▲ 3
37Feel It StillPortugal. The Man
38SlideCalvin Harris feat. Frank Ocean and Migos▲ 2
39PrayingKesha▲ 2
40Look What You Made Me DoTaylor Swift
411-800-273-8255Logic feat. Alessia Cara & Khalid▲ 2
42I Feel It ComingThe Weeknd feat. Daft Punk▲ 3
4324k MagicBruno Mars▲ 2
44CloserThe Chainsmokers feat. Halsey▲ 12
45Sign of the TimesHarry Styles▲ 2
462UDavid Guetta feat. Justin Bieber▲ 2
47Body Like a Back RoadSam Hunt
48AttentionCharlie Puth▲ 2
49FriendsJustin Bieber and BloodPop
50Mask OffFuture▲ 2
51Call on MeStarley▲ 3
53CongratulationsPost Malone feat. Quavo▲ 2
54SilenceMarshmello feat. Khalid
55Say You Won’t Let GoJames Arthur▲ 7
56StarboyThe Weeknd feat. Daft Punk▲ 4
57All Time LowJon Bellion▲ 2
58AdoreAmy Shark▲ 2
59Can’t Stop the FeelingJustin Timberlake▲ 8
60I Fall ApartPost Malone-
61Don’t LeaveSnakehips and MØ▲ 2
62Sorry Not SorryDemi Lovato
63WavesDean Lewis▲ 2
64You Don’t Know MeJax Jones feat. Raye▲ 2
65Your SongRita Ora▲ 2
66RedboneChildish Gambino▲ 2
67Pretty GirlMaggie Lindemann▲ 2
68I Like Me BetterLauv
69Chained to the RhythmKaty Perry feat. Skip Marley
70Fallin'Jessica Mauboy
71Scared to be LonelyMartin Garrix and Dua Lipa▲ 2
72SwallaJason Derulo feat. Nicki Minaj and Ty Dolla Sign▲ 2
73Scars to Your BeautifulAlessia Cara▲ 2
74Good Old DaysMacklemore feat. Kesha
75 …Ready for It?Taylor Swift
76The CureLady Gaga
77BelieverImagine Dragons
78Mi GenteJ Balvin and Willy William feat. Beyonce
79What Lovers DoMaroon 5 feat. SZA-
80Never Be like YouFlume feat. Kai▲ 6
81Bad LiarSelena Gomez
82Back to YouLouis Tomlinson feat. Bebe Rexha and Digital Farm Animals
83Walk on WaterEminem feat. Beyonce-
84TouchLittle Mix▲ 2
85StrangerPeking Duk feat. Elliphant▲ 3
86Most GirlsHailee Steinfeld
87HumanRag’N’Bone Man▲ 2
88No PromisesCheat Codes feat. Demi Lovato▲ 2
89DiveEd Sheeran
90SexualNeiked feat. Dyo▲ 3
91There For YouMartin Garrix and Troye Sivan
92Now or NeverHalsey
93Play That SongTrain▲ 2
94CocoonMilky Chance
95One DanceDrake feat. Wizkid and Kyla▲ 6
96LovesickMura Masa feat. ASAP Rocky▲ 2
97Don’t Wanna KnowMaroon 5 feat. Kendrick Lamar
98Let Me GoHailee Steinfeld and Alesso feat. Florida Georgia Line and watt-
99WolvesSelena Gomez and Marshmello-
100Without YouAvicii feat. Sandro Cavazza-

Albums (Top 25)
1DivideEd Sheeran▲ 5
2Beautiful TraumaP!nk▲ 3
3ReputationTaylor Swift-
4Harry StylesHarry Styles
5DamnKendrick Lamar
6Concrete and GoldFoo Fighters
7MoanaVarious Artists
8TrollsVarious Artists
10The Thrill of It AllSam Smith-
11ChristmasMichael Buble♦ 2
12Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2Various Artists
13xEd Sheeran▲ 9
14Life is FinePaul Kelly-
15The Secret Daughter 2Jessica Mauboy
16EvolveImagine Dragons-
17More LifeDrake-
18Greatest Hits & InterpretationsTina Arena-
19Go Farther in LightnessGang of Youths-
20WitnessKaty Perry-
21StoneyPost Malone-
2225Adele▲ 10
24Triple J Like a Version 13Various Artists-
25American TeenKhalid-

Last edited:
Damn, I swear Lil Uzi's gonna miss the list just because ARIA have messed up on more than one occasion.
People are completely underestimating Perfect IMO.
Hmm you could be right, it could do quite well but I don't see it getting anywhere higher than #15
^ Don't underestimate all the time it's spent in the Top 100 before it was officially sent to radios.

I believe we will only have 2 or 3 #1s in the Year End Top 10 (Shape Of You, Despacito and perhaps Rockstar) which would probably be a record.
Yeah, I'm actually starting to agree with you I.E, considering its spent 36 weeks in the top 100 I won't be surprised if people underestimate it. I did a bit of research and I'm pretty sure 2 or 3 would definitely be the record as well
The EOY albums will be super hard to predict this year because...

1. A massive lack of big albums. Compared to the last 5 or 6 years, 2017 has barely had any albums that will go down as massive albums. 2016 had the same problem but there were way more big albums than this year

2. A massive lack of certifications. I know certifications don't always mean everything but it would be a lot easier if there were certifications so it could give people a rough idea of where everything will place
I don't agree about the lack of big albums as Divide and Beautiful Trauma are already sure to sell more than what Adele's 25 did in 2016.
Well besides from those 2 there haven't been any other massive albums
2016 didn't particularly have any big albums either. You just need to look at the Year End Top 10: 2 Christmas albums, one of them having been released in 2011, an album of covers and 2 other 2015 LPs, with 25 even topping the chart. It really was à dead year. At least in 2017 we've had new LPs by Ed Sheeran, P!nk, Taylor Swift and Sam Smith.

The changes of consumer habits who now prefer streaming and who are buying / downloading less and less albums as well as the poor inclusion of streaming in the albums chart explain why albums chart sales are still miserable and why less and less albums are certified.

I'd Say that there are some big eras but due to the changes of consumer habits, it is no longer well reflected into the albums chart.
True, I feel like album certifications need to have streaming to make sure that albums are getting as many certifications as they used to
Streaming has actually been included into albums accreditations since Friday, May 5th. However, "the two tracks attracting most streams are reduced to the level of the average of the next eight highest streamed tracks associated with the album". This rule is a bit stupid IMO. If an album generates some big hits, then it is penalized simply because it includes hits...

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